Housing Investment in Germany : an Empirical Test

In this thesis I study the German housing market and specifically the level of housing investment. First, a theoretical background to housing market dynamics is presented and then I test whether there is a relationship between housing investments and GDP, the size of the population, Tobin’s Q and co...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Holm, Hanna
Format: Others
Language:English
Published: Uppsala universitet, Nationalekonomiska institutionen 2006
Subjects:
Online Access:http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-7048
Description
Summary:In this thesis I study the German housing market and specifically the level of housing investment. First, a theoretical background to housing market dynamics is presented and then I test whether there is a relationship between housing investments and GDP, the size of the population, Tobin’s Q and construction costs. An Error Correction Model is estimated and the result is that the equilibrium level of housing investment is restored after less then two quarters after a change in one of the explainable variables. The estimation indicates that GDP, the size of the population and construction costs affect the level of construction in the short run. However, in the long run the only significant effect is changes in construction cost.