When the Death Count Gets Higher : Intensifying ‘Sons of the Soil’ Conflicts

• Main Author: Bohman, Elias
• Format: Others
• Language: English
• Published: Uppsala universitet, Institutionen för freds- och konfliktforskning 2016
• Subjects: Sons of the soil; civil war; conflict intensity; balance of power; misperception; Mali; Niger
• Online Access: http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-303327

‘Sons of the soil’ conflicts seldom intensify above a low level of intrastate violence. Although frequent, they tend to remain small in scale, which has contributed to a lack of scholarly understanding about why some Sons of the soil conflict yet intensify more than others. Taking the role of the state into account, this study aims to investigate the causes for intensification in these conflicts. With a neoclassical realist approach, domestic factors behind the causal process of conflict intensification are unearthed, thereby investigating further the action-formation of the government threat perception. It leads the study to test the following hypothesis: A Sons of the soil conflict is more likely to intensify if the government misperceives the threat the conflict constitutes. Through a comparative process tracing analysis of Sons of the soil conflict intensity in Mali and Niger, 2006-2012, findings suggest that certain domestic factors at the state level cause a significant variation in the outcome. Actual low threats of Sons of the soil conflict may in fact be intensified due to state misperceptions.