Forecasting GDP Growth, or How Can Random Forests Improve Predictions in Economics?

GDP is used to measure the economic state of a country and accurate forecasts of it is therefore important. Using the Economic Tendency Survey we investigate forecasting quarterly GDP growth using the data mining technique Random Forest. Comparisons are made with a benchmark AR(1) and an ad hoc line...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Adriansson, Nils, Mattsson, Ingrid
Format: Others
Language:English
Published: Uppsala universitet, Statistiska institutionen 2015
Subjects:
GDP
Online Access:http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-243028