Short-term wind power forecasting using artificial neural networks

Wind power has seen a tremendous growth in recent years and isexpected to grow even more in years to come. In order to better scheduleand utilize this energy source good forecasting techniques are necessary. This thesis investigates the use of artificial neural networks for short-term wind power pre...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Svensson, Morgan
Format: Others
Language:English
Published: KTH, Skolan för datavetenskap och kommunikation (CSC) 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-176018
Description
Summary:Wind power has seen a tremendous growth in recent years and isexpected to grow even more in years to come. In order to better scheduleand utilize this energy source good forecasting techniques are necessary. This thesis investigates the use of artificial neural networks for short-term wind power prediction. It compares two different networks, the so called Multilayer Perceptron and the Hierarchical Temporal Memory / CorticalLearning Algorithm. These two networks are validated and compared on a benchmark dataset published in the Global Energy Forecasting Competition, a competition used for short-term wind power prediction. The results of this study show that the Multilayer Perceptron is able to compete with previously published models and that Hierarchical Temporal Memory/ Cortical Learning Algorithm is able to beat the reference model.