A Qualitative Framework for Analyzing Potential Privatization Candidates – A Case Study of Singapore Stock Mark

碩士 === 國立臺灣大學 === 企業管理碩士專班 === 107 === Shares investing is my hobby. There are many investment strategies depending on risk appetite and expected returns. The popular one widely-advocated by financial literacy books include value investing, technical analysis, fundamental analysis, etc. I am particu...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Gordan Chen Cien Sheng, 陳銓勝
Other Authors: Kun-Chih Chen
Format: Others
Language:en_US
Published: 2019
Online Access:http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/npya33
Description
Summary:碩士 === 國立臺灣大學 === 企業管理碩士專班 === 107 === Shares investing is my hobby. There are many investment strategies depending on risk appetite and expected returns. The popular one widely-advocated by financial literacy books include value investing, technical analysis, fundamental analysis, etc. I am particularly interested in a speculative (in a risk-measured way) strategy, which is to identify and invest in companies that are potential targets of privatization because, the return can be significant. A 10-30% premium paid by the acquirer is not uncommon. This strategy is seldom being discussed, let alone being advocated, in investment books because it carries more risks. (E.g. well-managed companies but in a very unattractive industry or affected by cyclical downturn, or even companies who could be in a structural decline). Risks aside, it is also harder to execute as it is more qualitative than quantitative strategies like fundamental analysis or technical analysis. I will limit my research to only companies listed in the Singapore Exchange, where I am most familiar with. I shall study the reasons why listed companies are being privatized and, more importantly, the characteristics they displayed prior to being acquired to build a framework. I shall then use it to screen and shortlist some currently-listed companies with potential to be privatized. I will then select 3 stocks (with most likelihood to be privatized) for deep-dive analysis, before giving a final recommendation on which one (or all) to invest.