Research on Cross-Strait Ocean-Rail Trade Routes in the Belt and Road Initiative

• Main Authors: Yi-Yan Lin, 林奕延
• Other Authors: Jih-Shine Chou
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2018
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/a6g2m5

碩士 === 國立臺灣大學 === 國家發展研究所 === 107 === 　　“The Belt and Road” is a cross-border economic belt initiated and led by Mainland China in 2013. Its main purpose is establishing a transportation network along the Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road to closely link the economic relations between Mainland China and other countries. By the two sides of Taiwan Strait agree Three Direct Links, and the water ports that the Chinese Mainland agreed with direct shipping are originally located within the railway network of Mainland China, the cross-strait water transport can be connected to the Silk Road economic belt and thus connected to the geo-economic zones of East Asia, Central Asia and South Asia. Therefore, this paper focuses on the cross-strait ocean-rail trade routes under the Belt and Road Initiative in the view of the network formed by the cross-strait ocean-rail transport and the cross-border international economic belt. 　　Because the object is researching trade routes, this paper uses the definition of Trade route, which is “A trade route is a logistical network identified as a of pathways and stoppages used for the commercial transport of cargo”, to explore the cross-strait ocean-rail trade routes under the Belt and Road Initiative. The “stoppages” in this paper means the geographical features of Mainland China''s railway crossing points or highway crossing points open to Taiwan merchants, Customs Special Supervision Areas ( within national territory but outside Customs territory ), the railway freight stations for Mainland China Railway Express, and the direct shipping water ports. And the geopolitical features about business interests are the most economically developed and densely populated areas of ​​Mainland China''s land-based neighboring countries, including “ecumenes” and “effective regional territory (ERT)”. Finally, all the above spatial and non-spatial data are collected into GIS software, and connectivity of network analysis will be carried out to find the trade routes or trade networks. Then relevant suggestions will be made according to the results, such as the trade route strain when the situation on the Korean Peninsula is tense or even worse, the trade strategy of Taiwanese businessmen deepening the New Asia-Europe Continental Bridge Silk Road, or the three border trade routes from Kunming to Vietnam, Laos and Myanmar. 　　In the 1st research findings, the author observes the shipping lines of these trade routes, staggered between the Taiwan Strait as a continuous and route-intensive area. After excluding territorial sea, contiguous zones and economic sea with sovereign disputes, a sea area with intensive cross-strait shipping lines and without sovereign disputes is formed. This sea area, named as " the peaceful seas of cross-strait trade" to emphasize the peace and business orientation of this study, could be used as a reference for signing cross-strait peace agreements . 　　In the 2nd research findings, the idea of ​​Taiwanese businessmen establishing the Belt and Road Operations Center in the important hub of the trade route is proposed. It is expected that these centers will help Taiwanese businessmen on both sides of the Taiwan Strait to adapt to political risks, to find the cross-strait business opportunities, and to promote the cross-strait certificate of origin unity against other countries. 　　In addition, in order to promote cross-strait trade and academic research, this paper not only explains how to collect and organize data with EXCEL-VBA-coded robot, but also shares the source, you can also use or modify the space maps and non-spatial data that the author draws or assembles on his own, so that more research on peace and commercial use can be conducted on both sides of the Taiwan Strait.