Analysis of Potential Substitutes of the Traditional Automobile on the Basis of Future Scenarios

• Main Authors: Philipp Leistner, 馬甫翰
• Other Authors: Seif, Heiko
• Format: Others
• Language: en_US
• Published: 2018
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/pv9d9m

碩士 === 國立臺灣師範大學 === 管理研究所 === 107 === German cities and municipalities are facing strong challenges. More than 75 % of the German population lives in cities and the trend of urbanization is continuing. Due to this development, cities are becoming increasingly crowded, infrastructures reach their physical limits and the environment is suffering heavily. Many cities are already facing these problems by trying to avoid further growth of these grievances by developing, for example, so-called ‘smart city’ strategies. One major reason for these issues is mobility. Currently, the privately-owned and fuel-powered car is one of the most popular vehicles for movement in cities. Moreover, most public buses are still powered by fuel, too. Even though industry and governments are pushing the development of e-mobility and the expansion of a charging infrastructure for electric vehicles, the process has not progressed enough to convince the population to fully switch to electric-powered vehicles and ensure convenient transportation. This thesis is elaborating in which direction urban mobility might develop in the next ten years by creating different future scenarios. These scenarios will be created on future projections done from two focus groups that elaborate on expectations surrounding urban mobility from the user’s perspective. As a result of the analysis of current and future mobility, it can be said, that the style of locomotion in cities will change from an individual journey to a multimodal, efficient and seamless travel, where the one and only purpose is to reach the destination.