A Study on the Factors Affecting the Trade Between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and Taiwan

碩士 === 國立勤益科技大學 === 企業管理系 === 107 === Because Taiwan’s geographical environment that is surrounded by sea, and trading is an important economic hub for any country, therefore sea and air transportation is closely related to Taiwan. Taiwan and mainland China that both sides of the strait have investe...

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Main Authors: HSIAO, WEN-CHUN, 蕭玟君
Other Authors: LIN, SHUI-SHUN
Format: Others
Language:zh-TW
Published: 2019
Online Access:http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/mjyvyz
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spelling ndltd-TW-107NCIT01210222019-11-16T05:27:31Z http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/mjyvyz A Study on the Factors Affecting the Trade Between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and Taiwan 東南亞國協與臺灣貿易影響因素之探討 HSIAO, WEN-CHUN 蕭玟君 碩士 國立勤益科技大學 企業管理系 107 Because Taiwan’s geographical environment that is surrounded by sea, and trading is an important economic hub for any country, therefore sea and air transportation is closely related to Taiwan. Taiwan and mainland China that both sides of the strait have invested and traded frequently for decades. The developing Southeast Asian countries have used favorable conditions to attract foreign enterprise investment and, in addition, their labor force is much cheaper than the neighboring countries. Taiwan is not one of the members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and cannot enjoy the trade reciprocal tariffs among member states. The objectives of this study are: First, analyzing the trade trend forecast of Taiwan and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations in recent years. Second, using the attraction model to explore the factors that Taiwan and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations have invested in setting up factories. Third, exploring the trends of currencies of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations. This research utilizes regression analysis to predict the next quarter's import and export volume, with statistical data from 2014 to 2017 provided by government agencies. The attraction models reveal whether the annual volume of trade in and out is related to the GDP, GNI of the two countries (Taiwan and other countries). The research results reveal that the forecast of import and export of the ASEAN, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam showed growth; while the Indonesia and Brunei showed a decline trend. Exports from Malaysia, Myanmar and Laos are risen; however, the imports are decreased; in contrast, exports from Singapore and Cambodia are declined and imports are rising. Whether the GDP and GNI will be impact the trade volume, the export to Thailand is significantly. The overall export model is significant for Thailand, Malaysia and Singapore; and the overall import model is significantly for Malaysia. The 2018 GNI forecast for the Philippines, Thailand, Singapore and Indonesia is significant. Finally, the forecast of exchange rate is significant for the Philippines, Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia. LIN, SHUI-SHUN 林水順 2019 學位論文 ; thesis 85 zh-TW
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description 碩士 === 國立勤益科技大學 === 企業管理系 === 107 === Because Taiwan’s geographical environment that is surrounded by sea, and trading is an important economic hub for any country, therefore sea and air transportation is closely related to Taiwan. Taiwan and mainland China that both sides of the strait have invested and traded frequently for decades. The developing Southeast Asian countries have used favorable conditions to attract foreign enterprise investment and, in addition, their labor force is much cheaper than the neighboring countries. Taiwan is not one of the members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and cannot enjoy the trade reciprocal tariffs among member states. The objectives of this study are: First, analyzing the trade trend forecast of Taiwan and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations in recent years. Second, using the attraction model to explore the factors that Taiwan and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations have invested in setting up factories. Third, exploring the trends of currencies of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations. This research utilizes regression analysis to predict the next quarter's import and export volume, with statistical data from 2014 to 2017 provided by government agencies. The attraction models reveal whether the annual volume of trade in and out is related to the GDP, GNI of the two countries (Taiwan and other countries). The research results reveal that the forecast of import and export of the ASEAN, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam showed growth; while the Indonesia and Brunei showed a decline trend. Exports from Malaysia, Myanmar and Laos are risen; however, the imports are decreased; in contrast, exports from Singapore and Cambodia are declined and imports are rising. Whether the GDP and GNI will be impact the trade volume, the export to Thailand is significantly. The overall export model is significant for Thailand, Malaysia and Singapore; and the overall import model is significantly for Malaysia. The 2018 GNI forecast for the Philippines, Thailand, Singapore and Indonesia is significant. Finally, the forecast of exchange rate is significant for the Philippines, Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia.
author2 LIN, SHUI-SHUN
author_facet LIN, SHUI-SHUN
HSIAO, WEN-CHUN
蕭玟君
author HSIAO, WEN-CHUN
蕭玟君
spellingShingle HSIAO, WEN-CHUN
蕭玟君
A Study on the Factors Affecting the Trade Between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and Taiwan
author_sort HSIAO, WEN-CHUN
title A Study on the Factors Affecting the Trade Between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and Taiwan
title_short A Study on the Factors Affecting the Trade Between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and Taiwan
title_full A Study on the Factors Affecting the Trade Between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and Taiwan
title_fullStr A Study on the Factors Affecting the Trade Between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and Taiwan
title_full_unstemmed A Study on the Factors Affecting the Trade Between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and Taiwan
title_sort study on the factors affecting the trade between the association of southeast asian nations and taiwan
publishDate 2019
url http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/mjyvyz
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