| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立中興大學 === 歷史學系所 === 107 === The crisis theory during 1935-1936 was the focus on military equipment issue and argument of colonies, the theory was originated from the prophet of World War 2. And the prophet of the Great War can be traced back competition between the U.K. and Japan and the Unite State of America in the Far East. Following situation development, it made the rumor of World War 2 went to discuss widely by journals. With an organization like League of Nations had been established to maintain peace of globe, it postponed the fear of war of people. However, with the conflict between several great nations were stack up in 1918-1930s, it became a dilemma situation. Plus the Great Depression occurred in 1929 and Japanese escalate their military invasion in China that cause a serial international problem. This made people convinced that the Great War must occur in 1935-1936. It caused people to start talking about the prophet of Great War again. Meanwhile, the crisis theory became most solid proof of Great War prophet again.
Besides, crisis theory was used against public opinion of party political in the 1930s during Japanese military（army, navy） was in competition and cooperation relationship status. Meantime, it was used by Chinese newspapers for observing Japanese political status and study the issue of ‘‘using Great War as the beginning of solving Chinese problem’’. Though after 1937, the crisis theory of 1935-1936 officially went down, people still had a great fear of War and enhance the thought that war is inevitable instead of diminishing their fear of war. With public opinion goes, journals start to discuss strategy about ‘‘long term war’’ and ‘‘ sustain and expecting changes’’.
However, crisis theory of 1935-1936 is an issue seldom mention at academic field, but this theory was broadened propaganda by newspapers, and crisis theory from a non-authority spreading rumor during Great War prophet was known across world, to a concrete theory through different incidents and situation development, constantly combine thing and stack up and comb the fact and rephrase the story.
Therefore, this article is about to discuss the development of 1935-1936 crisis theory, and Chinese journals transfer during crisis theory was broadened propaganda. This research will base on newspapers, magazines, contemporary articles, and diaries, to figure out what is ‘‘the crisis theory of 1935-1936’’, and the connection between crisis theory and World War 2.
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