The Development of System Dynamics Model for Mercury And Dioxin Flow And Analysis of Health Benefit – Case Study of Anshun Pollution.

• Main Authors: Po-Chun Yeh, 葉柏駿
• Other Authors: 曾昭衡
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2017
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/797f63

碩士 === 國立臺北科技大學 === 環境工程與管理研究所 === 106 === In this research, the using of system dynamics software STELLA will construct the flow pattern of mercury and dioxin around the An-shun site, simulating the change of concentration of the pollutants before the renovation and after the renovation, and comparing the Observations after the renovation, proving the Feasibility of this model, and then continue the future simulation of the concentration change. In addition, this research will also simulate the concentration of the mercury and dioxin in each food and estimates the daily exposure of the human body. Finally, the research will determine the health benefits of the residents in Annan district when the reduction of mercury and dioxin in this case. The results will provide the reference and application for the decision making. The result shows the reduction of mercury in the residents of Annan district can avoid the days of premature death and avoid the reduction of newborn infants IQ. Eating the fish outside the An-shun site after 10 years and 30 years, the days of premature death and IQ can be increased to 0.38 d / yr- 0.095 points / per person and 0.66 d / yr- person, 0.166 points / per person. Eating fish within the An-shun site after 10 years and 30 years, comparing to the beginning year (2003), the days of premature death and IQ can be increased to 9.01 d / yr- person and 12.79 d / yr- person, 3.841 points / per person. The reduction of dioxin within the blood of residents in Annan District can decrease the days of premature death. Eating the fish outside the An-shun site after 10 years and 30 years, the days of premature death can be increased to 0.08 d / yr- and 0.11 d / yr-person, eating fish within the An-shun site after 10 years and 30 years, comparing to the beginning year (2003), the days of premature death can be increased to 21.04 d / yr- and 27.77 d / yr-person The health benefits of the residents in Annan district when mercury and dioxin redacting. The health benefits of residents that eating the fish outside the An-Shun site can be saved 742 million NTD per year and 1,231 million NTD per year and the health benefits of residents that eating the fish within the An-Shun site can be saved 4,804 million NTD per year and 6,484 million NTD per year.