Time Series Analysis using Machine Learning Techniques for Energy Consumption Patterns in Residential Buildings

• Main Authors: Duc-Son Tran, 陳德山
• Other Authors: Jui-Sheng Chou
• Format: Others
• Language: en_US
• Published: 2018
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/uwg6w4

碩士 === 國立臺灣科技大學 === 營建工程系 === 106 === Energy demand in buildings is increasing because of development of countries around the world. Forecasting the energy consumption in buildings has become crucial for improving energy efficiency and sustainable development, and thereby reducing energy costs and environmental impact. This investigation presents a comprehensive review of machine learning techniques for forecasting energy consumption time series using actual data. Real-time data were collected from a smart grid that was installed in an experimental building and used to evaluate the efficacy and effectiveness of statistical and machine learning techniques. Four well-known artificial intelligence techniques, Artificial Neural Networks, Support Vector Machine, Classification and Regression Tree, and Linear Regression, were used to analyze energy consumption in single and ensemble scenarios. An in-depth review and analysis of the ‘hybrid model’ that combines forecasting and optimization techniques is presented. The comprehensive comparison demonstrates that the hybrid model is more accurate than the single and ensemble models. Both the accuracy of prediction and the suitability for use of these models are considered to support users in planning energy management.