Analysis of China-Korea FTA Impact on Taiwan Export to China

• Main Authors: HUANG, FENG-CHUN, 黃鳳君
• Other Authors: LI, JAU-RONG
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2018
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/nw4259

碩士 === 國立高雄師範大學 === 事業經營學系 === 106 === While countries of the world in order to have actively signed bilateral or regional free trade agreements(FTA) in order to stimulate the economy and increase exports, Taiwan, located in an important economic position in Asia, cannot join any important regional economic integration or establish bilateral FTA with major exporting countries, but only signs ECFA as the most Influential economic agreement. In comparison, South Korea has not only actively expanded its trade territory, but also signed the China-Korea Free Trade Agreement on December 20, 2015.Whether China-Korea FTA will affect the export of Taiwan, and how the Taiwanese industries will counter the threat posed by this FTA. This paper, first, uses trade report literature and statistical systems to analyze the major export industries, the export amount, and the market share of both Taiwan and South Korea. Second, using the multiple regression model method to estimate if there is no China-Korea FTA how much Taiwan export value will be, and see the difference between the actual export value. This paper analysis found that China-Korea FTA has only just started for two years, and the first year of tax reduction products are not Taiwan’s major export items to China, so the export to Taiwan has not had a significant impact currently. However, if China-Korea FTA utilization rate reaches 100%, it is bound to have a huge impact on Taiwan export value. Therefore, we must not only actively establish closed trade relationship with other countries, but also need to find a way to solve between Taiwan and China cross-strait trade balance relations. These are the ways to make Taiwan external economic and trade situation be better.