The trend of U.S.-China Relations after Donald Trump inaugurated, and its impact on Taiwan

• Main Authors: Chou, Yang-Chan, 周暘展
• Other Authors: 郭武平
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2018
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/w58x6s

碩士 === 國立政治大學 === 國家安全與大陸研究碩士在職專班 === 106 === After the 45th U.S. President Donald Trump inaugurated, he proposed the “U.S. first” general policy for administration, and considered China as a key impediment, especially the huge trade deficit and unfair trade between the United States and China, which caused the U.S. economy to be in trouble. “The Principled Realism” tends to handle the relationship between the United States and China in a results-oriented manner. It adopts severe trade punishment measures. The strategic layout is actively investing more resources in Asia, and through the construction and strengthening of the US Indo-Pacific Strategy, it is used in thematic operations. It is more proactive, aggressive and pragmatic; however, affected by regional issues, Trump will seek maximum profits on specific topics, highlighting the potential conflict risk between the United States and China is more important than that of economic and trade cooperation. After the situation on the Korean Peninsula became to ease, political wrestling about regional security will shift to the South China Sea dispute, and there will be no solution in the short term. President Tsai adopted an ambiguous response attitude to the “1992 consensus” and proposed new “four-no” and “three-new” arguments. She hoped for cross-strait structural cooperation; After the 19th CPC National Congress, China emphasized that the Tsai government must admit the “1992 consensus” based on “one-china principle” , on the one hand, China accelerated the formulation of benefits and measures, and on the other hand has increased the bottom line for curbing “Taiwan independence”. However, Trump’s strategy to strengthen the Indo-Pacific strategy, based on the Bilateral Relations of the “Taiwan Relations Act”, promoted the military interaction between Taiwan and the United States, and increased the advantages of negotiating with Beijing on regional issues, but this caused a strong rebound in Beijing and triggered Taiwan’s diplomatic and military level directly imposes hard pressure. Taiwan’s relationship with the United States should not be interrupted or retreated due to China’s strong obstruction. The Tsai government should actively promote deeper progress in substantive cooperation in various fields between Taiwan and the United States, but it must avoid over stimulating or vigorously promoting the “Taiwan independence” proposition so as not to cause a fierce rebound in China. It is not conducive to the stable development of cross-strait relations.