Summary: | 碩士 === 國立中正大學 === 國際財務金融管理碩士學位學程 === 106 === This paper research investigates the impact of anti-dumping policy on the import volume of shrimp product in the United States, also analysis the trade diversion effect of the U.S anti-dumping duty in the period of time from January 1989 to December 2017. The research compares the impact of the anti-dumping policy between two main groups, the first one is the subject countries including Thailand, Ecuador, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, China and Brazil, the second group is other 72 countries which are not the subject of the anti-dumping policy. This study applies the OLS model, the fixed-effects model (FE) and random-effects model (RE), using the panel data estimation method with 7 independent variables, including the anti-dumping duty, dummy 1, dummy 2, unit price, exchange rate, gross domestic product and market share to analysis the impact on import volume and the trade diversion effect of anti-dumping duty.
This research comes up with the results that the anti-dumping duty has the significant negative impact to the import volume of shrimp product from both subject countries and non-subject countries. There is also a trade diversion effect after the US has imposed the anti-dumping duty, resulting in increasing the export volume in shrimp product of the subject countries to the third market.
Keywords: Anti-dumping duty, Shrimp, Trade diversion.
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