| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立臺灣大學 === 農業經濟學研究所 === 104 === In order to deal with the rice surplus and buffer the impact of entering WTO for the rice industry, Taiwan government has enforced the Paddy Land Utilization Adjustment Program and sequential plans since 1984. From then on, Taiwan has seen a constant growth in industry and commerce and an aging working population in the agriculture industry. The percentage of farm income in the farm household has declined, with more and more farmland being left unseeded. Furthermore, the government offers a growing amount of fallow substitutions year by year, only leaving a limited budget for other agricultural policies.
Taoyuan City is the hub of rice and vegetables production in the northern Taiwan. However, according to the statistics of the council of agriculture, Executive Yuan, the city in 2011 had the second largest continuing fallow farmland, totally 6998 hectares, only next to Tainan City. Moreover, the city in recent years has begun a major infrastructure plan, called Taoyuan Aerotropolis, which contributes to the high frequency of land transaction in the region of Qingpu and Dayuan. Many reports pointed out that the speculation in land sale is responsible for high percentage of fallow in Taoyuan region. Thus, this study aims to deeply understand whether there is a relation between the percentage of fallow and the price of farmland for sale. This study analyzed the real estate transaction cases from the Ministry of the Interior and the data from Taiyuan City government, adopted the method of least squares in econometrics, to investigate the factors that affect the price of the farmland for sale. Also, this study tries to explore the relation between the price of the farmland, its location and area, and its farming pattern and fallow policy.
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