Anticipated Policy and Stock Price Dynamics: A Small Open Economy Analysis

碩士 === 國立中山大學 === 經濟學研究所 === 104 === This thesis introduces the stock asset into the Dornbusch (1976)small-open economy model, and assumes that domestic stock, domestic bond, and foreign bond are perfectly substitutable assets. We examine how the stock prices and exchange rates will react when domes...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Kai-Li Hsieh, 謝鎧勵
Other Authors: Ching-Chong Lai
Format: Others
Language:zh-TW
Published: 2016
Online Access:http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/uu77s9
Description
Summary:碩士 === 國立中山大學 === 經濟學研究所 === 104 === This thesis introduces the stock asset into the Dornbusch (1976)small-open economy model, and assumes that domestic stock, domestic bond, and foreign bond are perfectly substitutable assets. We examine how the stock prices and exchange rates will react when domestic agents receive the news that supplementary premium, foreign interest rates or domestic money supply will raise permanently. The policy announcement from the government will change people’s expectations.Therefore, the stock price and foreign exchange rate will promptly jump up when the domestic agents receive the news. Three main conclusions emerge from the analysis. First, raising supplementary premium leads to drop on the long-run stock price but doesn’t affect exchange rate. Second, raising foreign interest rate leads to drop on the long-run stock price but the long-run exchange rate will depreciate in response. Third, the effect of increasing domestic money supply on the long-run exchange rate is negative but doesn’t affect real stock price in the long run.