| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立高雄應用科技大學 === 電機工程系博碩士班 === 105 === The capacity of PV Power Generating system has increased in the past years, but meanwhile 95% of the real time operation status information for the PV Power Generating system was never used for the power coordination Taiwan Power Company. However, for extremely low operating reserve, this information will be the key factor for stabilizing the system. Also according to current promoted policy and forecast, the PV Power Generating system will be expanded to 20GW; while if most of the private PV Power Generating system can’t share the real time generation status with control center, the cost and risk for the whole power net system would be high.
This thesis will establish a simulation model, based on limited PV Power Generating generator sets to estimate the capacity of whole PV Power Generating system. In this way, the reserve could be monitored in real time and help Dispatch center of Taiwan Power Company to manage the whole solar system.
Meanwhile, the PV Power Generating generation data will be collected in hour base. And an analysis will be performed and compared with those parameters for PV Power Generating system. Liner regression analysis will be applied with Least Square approach to establish the model for prediction, and by various verification processes, the reliability for this model can be confirmed. Finally, the prediction based on this model will be compared to the actual load from the system to identify the accuracy and effectiveness.
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