| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立東華大學 === 管理學院高階經營管理碩士在職專班 === 103 === The purpose of this research is aimed to understand the status quo of teachers’ human resources, including formal teachers, substitute teachers, and part-time teachers, in all of 23 public junior high schools in Hualien County. This research utilizes Markov-chain Model to estimate the teachers’ human resources in the next following five years based on different types of teachers transfer for the past five years.
According to the results, the conclusions of this study are as follows,
The percentage of formal teachers will drop to 70% estimated by the research, decreasing year by year based on the condition of the formal teacher selection in Hualien County for the past five years. The number of formal teachers in Hualien County is going to be less than 600 in 2018.
The percentage of the formal teachers in Hualien County will be lower than 65% in 2019, supposing that the formal teacher selection is not held in the next following five years.In circumstances of 30 formal teachers selected every year, the percentage of the formal teachers in Hualien County will maintain 80% and above.
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