Development of Annual-rolling Landsubsidence Probability Assessment Model
碩士 === 國立嘉義大學 === 土木與水資源工程學系研究所 === 103 === Based on a viscoelastic-plastic landsubsidence model integrated with the Monte Carlo simulation method, an annual-rolling landsubsidence probability assessment model is proposed by considering the uncertainty of soil parameters and sampling monthly average...
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| Language: | zh-TW |
| Online Access: | http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/23015910022023304142 |
| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立嘉義大學 === 土木與水資源工程學系研究所 === 103 === Based on a viscoelastic-plastic landsubsidence model integrated with the Monte Carlo simulation method, an annual-rolling landsubsidence probability assessment model is proposed by considering the uncertainty of soil parameters and sampling monthly averaged groundwater levels in aquifers in the next one year through history measured data of groundwater levels. After the annual-rolling landsubsidence probability assessment model is developed, a case of simple confined multilayered aquifer system is applied to conduct the examination of assessing landsubsidence probability at an observation site and in a regional area. The proposed annual-rolling landsubsidence probability assessment model can assess landsubsidence probability every month in the next one year. The simulation results represent the landsubsidence probability as exceeded amount of landsubsidence with various probabilities which can easily serve as the reference to management of groundwater and landsubsidence.
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