| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立高雄海洋科技大學 === 海事資訊科技研究所 === 102 === The possible impacts of global warming on future water resources in Taiwan are surveyed from the climate prediction experiments conducted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Analysis results show that future summer temperature in Taiwan has a 100% chance of significant warming. The warming intensity is proportional to the concentrations of greenhouse gases. The future summer rainfall tends to have a 2/3 chance of significant increase. The increasing intensity is independent of the contents of greenhouse gases. The major processes of increasing summer rainfall appear to be related to more typhoon activity over the oceans to the southeast of Taiwan. Severe typhoon rainfall cannot be efficiently used by the current major water resource systems, including reservoirs, rivers, and underground water. The severe rainfall by typhoon is likely to flush muds into the reservoir and deteriorate its operation. Meanwhile, most river flows caused by typhoon rainfall rush into the ocean before they are stored for use. The storage of underground water is not fast enough to catch most of the typhoon rainfall. As such, it suggests to broadly establish individual small water resource systems in family and community for capturing more water resources and increasing total efficiency of water resource operations.
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