An application of logit model on the feasibility of low-carbon freight transport in the eastern region of Taiwan

碩士 === 國立臺中科技大學 === 流通管理系碩士班 === 101 === In recent years, low-carbon transport has become a global trend. Suhua Highway is a major traffic way connecting the eastern and northern regions of Taiwan. Of its daily traffic, the volume of freight transport on average accounts for 19%, a relatively large...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Po-Jung Hsiao, 蕭百容
Other Authors: Yi-Ru Yen
Format: Others
Language:zh-TW
Published: 2013
Online Access:http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/dzvrc7
Description
Summary:碩士 === 國立臺中科技大學 === 流通管理系碩士班 === 101 === In recent years, low-carbon transport has become a global trend. Suhua Highway is a major traffic way connecting the eastern and northern regions of Taiwan. Of its daily traffic, the volume of freight transport on average accounts for 19%, a relatively large load. The problems of road safety, gas emissions causing air pollution, and high road maintenance costs therefore arise. By considering the road transport safety and environmental sustainability responsibility as well as many other factors, this study proposed a feasible model about low-carbon transport in the eastern region. This study adopts the data collected by the Institute of Transportation, MOTC in 2011 for the project “The probable model and feasibility analysis of low-carbon freight transport in the eastern region-An example of railway and marine transit.” This study uses the logit model to explore the choice behavior for low-carbon transportation tools in the eastern region of Taiwan. The probability of using a certain tool is calculated based on the logit model analysis. This study also incorporates the data on the predicted freight volume in 2015, and the data on CO2 emission from the Bureau of Energy, the Environmental Protection Bureau, and related literature. According to the modal choice result, this study proposes seven feasible low-carbon policies: going through hypothesized Hsuehshan Tunnel and Suhua Highway, going through Suhua Improvement (highway), additional rail train (railway), Roll On/Roll Off Ferry (sea), combining railway and marine transit policy, combining road and marine transit policy, and combining road, rail, and marine transit policy. Evaluated on carbon reduction efficiency, the policy of combining road, rail and marine transit is the most effective, able to reduce 3,588 tons of carbon. On the other hand, if the benefits of monetary value are gauged, the Roll On/Roll Off Ferry (sea) is the most effective, able to reduce NT$13,466,365. Finally, with respect to the easiness of enforcement, highway is the easiest to enforce, followed by sea and rail. The policy of combining road, rail and marine transit is the most difficult to enforce.