Summary: | 碩士 === 淡江大學 === 中國大陸研究所碩士在職專班 === 100 === China has large population, less capita arable land and relative low natural resources, and then the total effective arable land is in short. The government tries to increase food production, and speed up the progress of industrialization and urbanization in the developing economy. The farming on the mountains and the pollution of industrialization, leaded to the deterioration of the soil and water resources. A large number of rivers are contaminated and unfit for drinking or available to complement the fishing. People cannot be easily to drink clean water. As a food production and consuming country, China should be worry about the shortage of the food and agriculture resource caused by the growing of the economic and the population.
This research is on the basis of the security level of the food in China starting from the food resources and policy to figure out China''s food policy and production. Then change the phases to the food consumption demand and various to analysis the relation between China’s demand and the world trade. At the last, this research tries to find out the manipulate strategy of the food security level in China upon to the policy of inland production or import from other country.
The historical approach and the literature analysis is the main theory of this study. Others like the reference of literature, journals, scholars’ monographs and network data are all included. A comparison between China and the world food policy from different phases is conducted to analyze and understand the current situation of China food status and future needs, as the conclusions of this research.
The findings are as follows: (A) up to 360 kg per capita which has met the food standards of China people demand (B) the stock and consumption ratio is not less than 18% of the food security level, about 2 times of the United Nation standards since 2001 (C)a aggressive strategy of importation to adjust domestic supply and demand, from which to get more soy and meat, (D) the worries of the food security level: (i) there are still a large number of extreme poverty and the number of starving people (ii) the decline of chemical synthetic fertilizers marginal utility has reached a critical point (iii)the red line policy, 18 million mu of arable land, will not be able to resolve conflicts of interest between the government, and it will face a breakthrough crisis (iv) to speed up the genetic modification (GM) and expand the biotechnology will cause a irresistible risk.
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