| Summary: | 碩士 === 東吳大學 === 經濟學系 === 100 === This thesis aims at examining the determinants of total fertility change and the relationship between total fertility rate and household disposable income in Taiwan from 1978 to 2009. Hence, a panel model is constructed to analyze the reasons for fertility change. More specifically, this thesis applied random-effect models and fixed-effect models to conduct empirical analysis.
The empirical results suggest that the contributing factors for the fertility decline are diversified. They include the average years of education, pupil-teacher ratio in the primary school, the tiger year effect, female labor participation rate, the average age of the first marriage for females. However, the total fertility rates are positively associated with the dragon year effect. Finally, our empirical results also indicate an inverted-U fertility path driven by productivity levels and a U fertility path driven by time trends.
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