An Analysis of Optimal Hedging Strategy for Currency Exchange Market

碩士 === 國立臺灣大學 === 經濟學研究所 === 100 === While several studies have indicated that currency futures contracts can effectively minimize foreign exchange risk, few studies have discussed cross-hedging strategies using other assets. Gold is known as its monetary property and anti-cyclical nature. Therefore...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Szu-Hua Chen, 陳思樺
Other Authors: 林建甫
Format: Others
Language:zh-TW
Published: 2012
Online Access:http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/96928494396873476375
Description
Summary:碩士 === 國立臺灣大學 === 經濟學研究所 === 100 === While several studies have indicated that currency futures contracts can effectively minimize foreign exchange risk, few studies have discussed cross-hedging strategies using other assets. Gold is known as its monetary property and anti-cyclical nature. Therefore, we try to add gold and its futures into our currency exchange hedging strategies to see whether hedging effectiveness would be improved or not. We focus on the hedging strategies of six main foreign exchange markets: Australian dollar (AUD), Canadian dollar (CAD), Swiss franc (CHF), Euro (EUR), British pound (GBP), and Japanese yen (JPY). We compare the hedging effectiveness of five hedging strategies under three different empirical models: OLS, GARCH, and DCC-GARCH.Using daily data from 5 January 1999 to 30 March 2012, we find three main results: (1) Performance of hedging strategies using currency exchange futures is better than those using gold or its futures. (2) There’s no significant difference on hedging effectiveness between single-asset and multiple-asset portfolio hedging strategies. (3) The hedging effectiveness of OLS model is better than GARCH model and DCC-GARCH model on average.