Decision on Adoption of Technology for Amorphous Silicon Thin Film Photovoltaic Solar Manufacturers

• Main Authors: Cheng-YiKo, 柯正一
• Other Authors: Yeu-Shiang Huang
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2012
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/82529796670072293310

碩士 === 國立成功大學 === 工業與資訊管理學系專班 === 100 === Corporates often spend their capital expenditures in developing new technologies and new products when facing the increasingly competitive market, by which product value can be increased or production cost can be reduced to enhance the competitive advantages. Therefore, the decision about the use of capital expenditure obtains more attention. However such a decision may encounter various kinds of risks and the decision maker must evaluate and measure the feasibility whether bring corporation the positive effect. To the amorphous silicon thin film solar manufacturers, existing product has worse competitiveness in the market. It need do the structured analysis of decision candidates before taking the capital expenditure action to develop new technologies and products. By using the Bayesian decision analysis, executing the prior analysis and posterior analysis with product acceptance rate and product return rate two uncertain factors to come out the decision model and decision rules. And then apply the real data in this model to calculate and analysis to verify the feasibility of this model. The purpose of the research is to assist the amorphous silicon thin film solar manufacturers in making decision by providing a systematic analytic decision procedure to prevent the input of unnecessary resource and reduce the possibility of expectation gap.