The determinant factor of global migration flows：the application of gravity model and trade networks analysis

• Main Authors: Kuen-Feng Lin, 林崑峯
• Other Authors: Nai-Fong Kuo
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2011
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/59361362871069705272

碩士 === 世新大學 === 財務金融學研究所(含碩專班) === 99 === In recent years, a substantial increase in international migration of population. According to the latest statistical data of DESA (United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs), it will increase to more 200 million people that were the total number of the world population of 3.1% in 2010. Total fertility rate of Taiwan is 1.03% that was the last ranking of the world in 2009. Taiwan could refer to foreign experience “international migration”, and it an important strategy to solve the population problem. Before attract the international immigration, this study analyze the determinant factor driver of global migration. This research use global bilateral migration data of 226 countries and 51076 samples. Also use the indicators of communications networks to demonstrate international migration by gravity model and measure determinant factors of international migration. Base on the theory and model of the Population Econometrics, this study examine the determinant factors of international population migration by the gravity model. Also, this research use social networks analysis to examine the positive and negative determinant factors of international population movement. The results indicate that the geographical and cultural factors, social and economic factors, and international trade factors with the application of gravity model and social networks analysis are significant impact on the international population migration. In the application of social networks analysis, trade centre networks and communications networks of the indicators in the global population migration play an important role.