Summary: | 碩士 === 國防大學管理學院 === 財務管理學系 === 99 === In recent years, the economic of China is rapidly growing at double-digit percentage. Will the growth rate still continue? The population growth declined after the one-child policy, and the needs of social welfare improve cause of the population structure changed. Will all of these bring about a quite exclusive effect to the national defense expenses and even result in postponing the schedule of reaching the military goal in 2030?
This study takes the prediction differently because of its lack of theoretical bases. The result indicates that in 2016 the economic growth will become slower, the population structure will become older, and the social welfare spending will become higher. As a consequence, the schedule of reaching the military goal will be postponed after 2040. The situations of the exclusive effect and financial influence are about the same as those in Taiwan, so the researching result can be a reference for our country in projecting the national defense strategy and the distribution of national budget.
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