A System Dynamics Model Of The Dynamic Random-Access Memory Industry Development In Taiwan

• Main Authors: Wen-Chien Lo, 羅文鍵
• Other Authors: Chung-Shu Liu
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2010
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/54209424473970016097

碩士 === 東海大學 === 經濟系 === 98 === Since Intel produced its first DRAM in 1970, the DRAM industry has begun to develop. With the assistance of the government and the efforts of the corporations which leads the prosperous development of the PC industry and at the same time it increases the production value of DRAM industry, and as a result, DRAM industry has become the pride of Taiwan. Recent years the business cycle has been turning and with the global financial turmoil started in 2008 to 2009 that lead the DRAM industry into a managing crisis. And because of the vast production value from DRAM industry and huge number of employments involved, the fluctuations of DRAM industry have profound impact on the macro economy in Taiwan. Although Taiwan started to build up its own DRAM industry late, it has become the world’s third largest DRAM manufacturing country within only 20 years. The fast development of the DRAM industry in Taiwan is worth investigating. It could be affected by the government policy, corporate R&D investment, the changing in the final demand or other economic factors. Since the interaction among these factors and the system structure are quite important and complex for the development of DRAM industry, this study using system dynamics to analyze Taiwan’s DRAM industry. We propose four key loops to describe the DRAM industry, and use quantitative models to simulate the structure of profitability and productivity for the industry. The future development of Taiwan’s DRAM industry is also discussed.