A Cohort Analysis of Political Identity in Taiwan, 1992 to 2008

• Main Authors: Ching-ting Li, 李靜婷
• Other Authors: Yung-tai Hung
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/98207814984490849711

碩士 === 國立臺灣大學 === 政治學研究所 === 98 === This thesis aims to identify both the ethnic and political party identities of the Taiwanese population and differences that occurred over a 16-year period between 1992 and 2008. It also analyzes whether the identities are affected by age, period or political generation by using cohort analysis. Data used in this analysis are all taken from face-to-face interviews conducted after national elections, including the 1992 legislative election study, the 1996 presidential election study, and the 2000 presidential election study from Election Study Center, NCCU, and TEDS2004P and TEDS2008P from Taiwan Election and Democratization Studies. Statistical methods used include descriptive statistics, dummy variable regression and log-linear models. Results from the analysis show ethnic identity in Taiwan is largely affected by the period effect, followed by the age effect and the political generation. Also shown is that there are three categories of ethnic identity: Taiwan identification is completely influenced by the period effect, dual identity is mainly affected by the age effect and Chinese identification is a result of both the period and age effects, with the period effect showing greater influence. Taiwanese political party identity is almost completely influenced by the period effect. The three sub-analyses show that the pan blue and pan green identities are clearly period effects. Only undecided voters are slightly affected by age as well as the period.