| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立臺灣大學 === 國家發展研究所 === 98 === For a long time, America plays an important role in cross-strait relationship. The change of cross-strait relationship inflects U.S. policy toward China and Taiwan. Facing the cross-strait relationship change and become closer in economic, politic, military, and diplomacy, will Obama administration change their cross-strait policy? Furthermore, because the U.S. needs China’s cooperation in many issues, the Obama administration might change the attitude toward China, and this could inflect the policy toward Taiwan.
This essay tries to analysis Obama’s cross-strait policy in strategic triangle model theory, when cross-strait relationship is friendly, considering the national and international circumstance, Obama administration will choose the best role in the triangle relationship. In 2009, the U.S. take the strategy to be China and Taiwan’s friend, but in 2010, the relationship between U.S. and China become worse, because the Obama administration took a strong attitude toward China for the core benefit and value and the pressure of mid-term election. The Obama administration also knew that this situation is disadvantage for them in the long term, because they need China’s cooperation in many issues. The two countries will try their best to prevent the conflict to happen or worse and toward a mature stage. Besides, the U.S. also tries to involve in the negotiation of cross-strait to prevent to be marginalized and lose the leader status in East Asia.
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