| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立中興大學 === 國際政治研究所 === 98 === Since the separation of China, the Taiwan Strait issue has always been a hot point of East Asian regional security. Following Mainland China’s rise in politics,economics and military,the Taiwan Strait issue has become a global problem that entails severeconsequences. The Taiwan Strait issue and Sino-US security dilemma are exceptions to China’s balancing act against US military; China and US potential military conflict should not be underestimated. If China and the US open fire on the Taiwan Strait issue,the spillover effect would not only be in the area around Taiwan. Although Mainland China’s goal is to prevent Taiwan’s independence or to force unification, if China directly resolvesto force against Taiwan, this may change the regional balance of power in the long run.However,if Communist China uses strategic coercion policy to press Taiwan into agreeing to China’s political demands before a US response,US intervention would be withoutground.
This thesis discusses Communist China’s strategy towards Taiwan from strategic coercion policy. Following the rise of Mainland China,the international community hopes that China could bring positive influences to the world and become a responsible great power,yet the Taiwan Strait issue continues to be a hot point for Sino-US conflict. Currently, maintaining the status quo is the optimal choice but how long could the status quo be maintained?Could the cross-strait issue be resolved peacefully? For the continuity of the Chinese Communist Party’s hold on power, once it is capable,would the CCP adopt a hard approach towards the resolution of the Taiwan Strait issue? Aside from the aforementioned questions,whether current policy aids cross-strait development is also a topic of this thesis.
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