| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立中興大學 === 應用經濟學系所 === 98 === The major contribution of this study is to combine both the climatic and macroeconomic factors simultaneously on the estimation of mortality using the capital of 22 OECD countries as examples. Empirical results provide strong evidences that higher income and lower unemployment rate could reduce the mortality rates while the increasing of precipitation and temperature variation have significantly positive impacts on mortality rates. The effects of changing average temperature on mortality rates in Summer and Winter are asymmetry and also depends on locations. Combing with the future climate change scenarios with the estimation outcomes show that mortality rates in OECD countries in 2100 will be increased by 3.77% to 5.89%.
From empirical results, we come to the conclusion that climate factors and macroeconomic conditions certainty have significant impacts on the mortality rates. Therefore, we suggest that the Government is not only committed to promote economic growth, but also emphases on the issue of global climate change more in the development and control policy. The Government should pursue sustainable development as the guiding principle on world environmental change issues and economic development. That is to say, we have to meet contemporary needs, and at the same time not to compromising future generations to meet their own needs. The main objective is supposed to highlight economic development needs to coordinate the carrying capacity of the earth, and man and nature live in harmony. The pursuit of economic development, environmental protection and social development among the three concepts strike a balance to achieve sustainable development.
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