Using Fuzzy MCDM Approach to Prioritize New Defense Weapon Procurement Programs—a case study of the naval new weapon acquisition programs in a certain year

• Main Authors: Ching-Szu Teng, 鄧清思
• Other Authors: Hsiu-Ling Lee
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2010
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/81216856038581725957

碩士 === 義守大學 === 管理研究所碩士班 === 98 === This case study is to construct a complete assessment model for resource arrangement and allocation, with the premise of utilizing limited defense resources to fulfill the need for national security. The objective of this model is to attain optimal utilization and arrangement of defense resources Limited by the large quantity of yearly new weapon acquisition programs and the consideration of confidentiality awareness, 10 assumed cases from the new navy weapon acquisition program are chosen as the research objects through the public information. Because numerous hierarchical assessment dimensions and criteria have to be considered within the prioritizing process, the Fuzzy AHP by Buckley (1985) is adopted in order to acquire the prioritization of the practical options for operational requirements. The survey result can be a reference for decision-making. The target survey of assessment dimensions and criteria is produced by expert interviews. Furthermore, the formal survey is produced after the factors of the survey result are analyzed by SPSS software. The result comes out with two parts, which are the weights and the effect values. Among the 10 proposed new weapon acquisition programs, the prioritization of the survey result appears that the program of the Lafayette Class Enhancement has the highest effect value. The program of the Diesel Engine Submarine has the second highest. Then, the programs of the Mine Hunter, the ASW Fixed Winged Aircraft, the Search and Rescue Ship, the Mine-sweeping/Utility Helicopter, the Missile Equipped Fast Boat, the Replenishment Ship, the Ultrasonic ASUW Missile, and the Encapsulated Harpoon Missile, respectively, are prioritized by their effect values. Finally, with the consideration of yearly costs of new programs, the investment threshold is set not to exceed the annual defense budget. If the cost of a decided program exceeds the budget, the importance of the program should be taken into account for additional investment or future program consideration. The objects of this case study are the navy annual new weapon acquisition programs. However, most of programs take several years to arrange and execute, and each case often affected by external uncertainty. To prevent the completeness of investment programs affected by uncertain factors, the hierarchical process is continually applied for optimizing the assessment result and the decision-making process.