Performance of Taiwan's life insurance industry research pathways ─ gray prediction analysis

• Main Authors: Shen,Jian-Xing, 沈建興
• Other Authors: Yang, Shih-Yu
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2010
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/79854229817761375684

碩士 === 致理技術學院 === 服務業經營管理研究所 === 98 === Taiwan's finance and insurance industry since 2007, the financial tsunami has been a gradual change in market structure, foreign life insurance industry, one after another wave of exodus, not only because Taiwan's insurance market is relatively difficult operating environment, as well as in 2011 the imminent implementation of the International Accounting Standards Bulletin No. (IFRS 4), the overall life insurance liabilities of the holding and must also be raised by NT 80-90 million, so the chaotic life insurance market to face the future is unknown, the future development of the life insurance sector had been seriously tested, while the life insurance industry the lifeblood of the new lease business premium income of life insurance company's stability is also with the degree of the company's assets related to the size, so this study will address the new contract share of premium income and assets to analyze the future development of Taiwan's life insurance industry. At present, Taiwan life insurance industry is divided into domestic and foreign life insurance industry, and the development of a variety of channels sales model, inroads into the market share of new contracts, while Taiwan's life insurance industry, this study will be divided into four groups, namely, the local financial group life insurance industry , and foreign financial group life insurance industry, the local non-financial group life insurance industry, and foreign non-financial group life insurance industry, four major groups, and in accordance with the insurance career development center new compact premium income, total assets of two input variables for gray prediction analysis, analysis of The results will be combined life insurance industry's first line of customer-facing executives in-depth interviews, want to invest for the future life insurance industry, developers, and future life insurance market, business model to make recommendations. In studying the life insurance business performance, or to data envelopment analysis as the main research methods; gray prediction is based on GM (1,1) model based on the use of relevant data to make predictions and to evaluate it, so this study will be used Foundation Insurance Life Insurance Business Development Center of the indicators of financial services related to data, creating a gray GM (1,1) model to carry out an assessment of the future development of the life insurance industry, but also because of the gray theory has a high degree of accuracy of the above, the error value is smaller advantages, while also allowing for the uncertainty of things to make a clear analysis