| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立臺北科技大學 === 商業自動化與管理研究所 === 97 === Because of the different property, opacity of value, complicated trade process, and poor exchanging cash, the property value is the target of economic backwater. In order to help people understand the trend of the property value, we compare the various financial statistics such as turnover, exchange rate of NTD and interest rate with the property value in Taipei. Hope that it can help those who invest the real property.
The study adopts the Hilbert-Huang Transformation (HHT,黃鍔,1998) in order to analyze the non-linear problems outside the restricted of traditional mathematics theory. We use HHT to compare all kinds of financial statistics such as turnover, exchange rate of NTD and interest rate with the property value. This article has studied every interaction between the financial statistics and the estimated bargain per level ground from 1995 to 2008.
After eliminating the interference of total 53 data, it shows that the estimated bargain per level ground in Taipei (The quarterly publication of the Cathay Real Estate) is obviously direct proportion to the turnover of TWSE. But the property value in Taipei is not relation to the turnover of construction business of TWSE. The property value in Taipei is relation to the exchange rate between USD and NTD, and is not relation to interest rate.
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