| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立臺北科技大學 === 環境工程與管理研究所 === 97 === This research shows that the author uses systematic dynamic model software STELLA to construct Taiwan transportation, greenhouse gas of energy department and systematic dynamic models of five major air pollutants as nitrogen oxide (NOX), sulfur oxide compound (SOX), suspended particulate matter (PM10), carbon monoxide (CO), non-methane hydrocarbon (NMHC). Among all, the maximum increase re activity of applies is to convert the density of O3 through the density of NMHC.
The study aims at the discussion of the decrement difference of around conformation coupling by the system dynamic method software to put up transportation and reduction initiatives of energy department. In addition, the author tries to calculate that various reduction initiatives which is because of decrements of air pollutants result in health benefits situation by Air Resources Co-Benefits model.
This study shows that the application of system dynamic method software conformity back coupling to estimate the synthesis transportations and the reduction initiatives of the energy department. Moreover, the author tries to use them to estimates Taiwan greenhouse gas and complete and main decrement proportion of the air pollutants. In 2030, if “Modest Policy Commitment Scenario” is applied, the total volume of greenhouse gas will reduce around 20.72 % compares to the withdrawal of BAU 525,164 Gg/a year to be possible to reduce approximately 108,830 Gg/a year. Moreover, compares the withdrawal of BAU, 19,502 Gg/years to be possible to reduce the approximately 4,132 Gg/years, the air pollutants will reducesthe approximately21.18% withdrawal. If “Major Policy Commitment Scenario” is applied, the total volume of greenhouse gas will reduce around 38.49 % compares to the withdrawal of BAU 525,164Gg/a year to be possible to reduce approximately 202,114Gg/a year. Besides, compares the withdrawal of BAU, 19,502 Gg/years to be possible to reduce the approximately 7,673Gg/years, the air pollutants will reduces the approximately39.34% withdrawal. If “Full Implementation Scenario” is applied, the total volume of greenhouse gas will reduce around 59.21 % compares to the withdrawal of BAU 525,164Gg/a year to be possible to reduce approximately 310,944Gg/a year. To compares the withdrawal of BAU, 19,502 Gg/years to be possible to reduce the approximately 11,805Gg/years, the air pollutants will reduces the approximately60.53 % withdrawal. However, considering the costs and social benefits relating Criteria air pollutants and the increase in living years, after all applicable initiatives upon Criteria air pollutants’ density are carried out, citizens in Taiwan could gain78.13 hours of life, with a cost of6.549,283thousand dollars per hour. If discussed various reduction initiatives base on have not back coupling conformity, withdrawal of the greenhouse gas and the main air pollutants will overestimate 143,824 Gg/years and 4,500 Gg/years, was equal in has overestimated
67.13% and 36.89%
This study represents that the technology of present stage and completely execute transportation and decrement of two energy departments. Moreover, the further green science and technology such as fuel cell, solar energy electro-optic and hydrogen will be inducted. These new technologies would be possible to reduce the withdrawal of greenhouse gas and to achieve the goal quickly which is back to the withdrawal of 2000 (2.14 hundred million tons) when country in 2025.
This research represents computed result by synthesizing the relevant data of transportation and every decrement motion of energy department Using LED lamp to replace tradition traffic light, the cost of benefit of applicable initiatives is the highest. Nevertheless, the transportation department would like to carry out applicable initiatives and encourage people to drive a vehicle which mix oil and electricity instead of common gasoline motorcar. Therefore, the cost of applicable initiatives is extremely high, but the benefit is the worse.
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