| Summary: | 碩士 === 義守大學 === 管理研究所碩士班 === 96 === Mexico is in Latin America that has advantage of NAFTA, and with GoldmanSachs report anticipative analysis. Taiwan should develop bilateral trade with Mexico that is an emerging country in economy and trade.
Above all, Our positive study applies the theory of comparative advantage to treat about the industrial competitiveness between Taiwan and Mexico. Our data comes from WTO in the period of 1980-2005.Moreover, we apply time-series ARIMA models to analyze the trade relationship between Taiwan and Mexico. The data of merchandise trade comes from Customs Office of ROC, which covers the monthly series from January of 1989 to December of 2007. Lastly, we apply the theory of intea-industry trade, the data comes from Customs Office of ROC, which the commodities of two code from January of 1989 to December of 2007. The analysis point including intea-industry trade index of total and single commodity to explain biliteral trade variation of nineteen years.
Our positive result reveals that with distinction of industrial structure between Taiwan and Mexico. Taiwan need to engage the economic cooperation with Mexico to benefit global strategy of our firms.The study result also shows that the import and export ARIMA mdoel fits with the theatrical requirements. To sum up, through the time-series analysis of bilateral trade, we can observe the trade dynamics to promote Taiwan’s long-term trade policy toward Mexico.According to the analytic result of intea-industry trade, Mexico have the highest intea-industry trade index in electric machinery with Taiwan, secondary is plastics and rubber manufacture and optics precision instrument.
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