Volatility Comparisonsin Historical Volatility,GARC Hand GJRGARCH Models with their Applications of Taiwan Equity Options

碩士 === 國立中正大學 === 企業管理所 === 96 === This study compares historical volatility, GARCH (1, 1) and GJR GARCH models by using Taiwan equity options from August 1, 2004 to 31 December, 2006. In deep-out-of-the-money options in-sample fit favors the historical volatility model. However, in deep-in-the-mone...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yu-Chih Ko, 柯羽芝
Other Authors: Ming-Chang Chen
Format: Others
Language:en_US
Published: 2008
Online Access:http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/62736693167223144098
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Summary:碩士 === 國立中正大學 === 企業管理所 === 96 === This study compares historical volatility, GARCH (1, 1) and GJR GARCH models by using Taiwan equity options from August 1, 2004 to 31 December, 2006. In deep-out-of-the-money options in-sample fit favors the historical volatility model. However, in deep-in-the-money options, the sample favors either GARCH (1, 1) or GJR GARCH models. As for assessing the performance of the GARCH models out-of-sample, GARCH (1, 1) has better forecasting ability than the GJR GARCH model.