Summary: | 碩士 === 國立中央大學 === 產業經濟研究所碩士在職專班 === 95 === Quality of matter bank the company transport business gives the letter decision making, and even investment of wish the investor, however because of the information dissymmetry, causes exterior personnel to be unable regarding the company actual transport business survey overall to understand, for assists exterior personnel to be familiar with the company transport business, to make a profit with the investment decision-making superiorly lacks, urgently awaits to establish a forecast and finance of early warning model other ability. This research is uses the Logistic return model to construct the construction finance early warning model, the research sample is by the ○○ bank mid-area 500 customers in, carries on the analysis to 2004 financial material with the non- financial material, compares to finally the verification result. Obtains the ○○ bank to give the letter behavior pattern, with during various variables the relativity, provides the bank to reduce gives reference the letter risk.
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