The Observation of MRT Development Progress and Land Price Variation

• Main Authors: Tzu-Yao Chen, 陳祖耀
• Other Authors: Yen-Jong Chen
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2006
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/44055021214104909190

碩士 === 國立成功大學 === 都市計劃學系碩博士班 === 94 === When the MRT was introduced into the city, it will be through steps of planning ,designing , construction and electrical engineering ,etc, among them there are some policies like route change or site selection could lead to the fluctuation in land price , and major traffic construction usually bring about a lot of effect on the development of land use in the surrounding area, the land price has been the theme discussed by scholars in the past time ,and most of the research was about the influence factor on the space more in the past, but it is more scarce to observe the continuous influence of MRT on the land price of every year. So this research wants to do the detailed discussion to the land price change over the years after MRT was announced to build up, and try to tell some phenomenon and characteristics from the data recording, and then apply time series model (ARIMA) to predict the change of land price caused by MRT. This research utilize land price announced by department of land to take place of real trade price to proceed to analyze the influence caused by MRT. Every steps of the MRT policy discussed in this research will repeat while any other city wants to build MRT, so the achievement of this article can support some newly-built MRT to be the precedent of land use development of the city.