| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立成功大學 === 交通管理學系碩博士班 === 94 === Most of past urban development studies mentioned the transportation system served habitants’ live and needs revealed playing the key role in city. A City in large scale usually provides stable, reliable and efficient transportation service to ensure this area keeping healthy and sustainable develops. This study builds the system dynamic model to simulate the interaction between mass rapid transit system (MRT) and urban development, to probe into their sustainability. After searching and collecting references of urban compactness, this study tried to categorize indicators into “High”, “Density”, “Efficiency”, and “Flexibility”, then referring past studies about the logic of building urban activities system.
There is so many studies focus on the relationship between MRT and types of cities, such as land use influenced by the service scope and routes of MRT. But they often point at changes in one station area, around-area of special MRT route or single land-use variance. This study based on the social-economic datum after Taipei MRT had began serving, and dynamic factor had simulated between MRT operation and financial affairs which were structured by model, confer the sustainable MRT pattern and observe land-use changes. Then this study transfers the model to use Kaohsiung datum, forecasts Kaohsiung city and MRT. However, for assisting in distinguish between alongside and away the MRT route, displaying networks of MRT effect in metropolis, this study use GIS to show statistic datum along the mass transit line in Taipei.
Through the simulation process and spatial statistic result, Taipei city and Kaohsiung city can’t display changes on land-use easily in short term after MRT working, but they all have trend of decreasing urban population density. MRT is helpful to promote urban habitants’ convenience and accessibility, attract mass trips and economic benefits nearby stations; yet follow-up route constructions are the key point of development. Because two cities have different industry composition and development period, there is small region and less probable riders in Kaohsiung. Although Kaohsiung MRT is not expected to get into debt chronically，but huge investment will hard to retrieve. Therefore, when planning or extend MRT route, we have to try achieving the “Synergy” of transportation system.
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