Demand Forecasting For Service Parts An Automobile Repair/Maintenance Shop Example
碩士 === 華梵大學 === 工業工程與經營資訊學系碩士班 === 94 === Most automobile manufacturers forecast the needs of service parts according to previous occurrence and sales statistics. In addition, the corporation evaluates its sales and profit outcomes by analyzing the targeted sales quantities, setting up transaction g...
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| Format: | Others |
| Language: | zh-TW |
| Published: |
2006
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| Online Access: | http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/59573285287679476143 |
| Summary: | 碩士 === 華梵大學 === 工業工程與經營資訊學系碩士班 === 94 === Most automobile manufacturers forecast the needs of service parts according to previous occurrence and sales statistics.
In addition, the corporation evaluates its sales and profit outcomes by analyzing the targeted sales quantities, setting up transaction goals, and comparing estimated amount with the factual result. The evaluation helps the company recognizes and reviews its strengths and weaknesses from actual numbers.
Nevertheless, employers and employees oftentimes have disagreements regarding to the estimated profit goals that is used in evaluation. Hence, it is necessary to have a practical and functional forecasting model in measuring profit goals for both parties.
The major purpose of this research is to determine which of the proposed simple forecasting methods performs best in setting up reasonable and achievable profit goals as well as reducing inventory cost of part and accessory in car maintain service industry. The result indicates that a simple regression model which uses the number of licensed cars within past three years as the input variable to predict the future requirements for the spare parts performs best among the proposed models.
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