A Study on the Distribution of Printers in the Industry of Computer and Digital Technology

• Main Authors: Shao-Chih, Liu, 劉紹志
• Other Authors: Hsiao-Yun Huang
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2006
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/05507073636501275129

碩士 === 輔仁大學 === 應用統計學研究所 === 94 === With the rapid development of computer and digital technology, printers have become so common that almost every company, home, and even individual can have one. Yet, as printer manufacturers keep introducing new models into the market, and old models are constantly replaced by new ones at a rate of every three months, printer distributors have found it very difficult to fully take control of its inventory and distribution. Moreover, the fierce competition among printer manufacturers in terms of developing new models always cuts short of a printer’s life span. It follows either that distributors may often lose opportunities of making more profit, due to their failure to obtain timely supply; or that they may be threatened by inventory pressure, due to their failure to clean up their stock. The purpose of this study is to predict (forecast), by a time-serial model, how printers may sell through different distribution channels. It is hoped that such an object approach, statistically derived in its nature, can be a valuable reference for most supply and distribution systems. This study primarily employs the ARIMA MODEL to find a workable model. As for its strength of predicting (forecasting), the model has shown great reliability after being applied to the inventory and distribution system of W company. This approach can be applied not only to supply and distribution systems, not also to those of other computer and digital products. It is believed to be able to bring great support to the distributors of computer and digital technology.