| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立交通大學 === 管理學院碩士在職專班科技管理組 === 93 === In this thesis, several possible novel applications of digital camera devices are forecasted based on the predicted digital life in the year 2030. The digital life discussed here is concentrated in six scenes, including shopping activities, office work, human interactions, traffic, health care and monetary activities. In order to construct the possible future digital life, the scenario analysis method proposed by the Stanford Research Institute (SRI) is performed. Hence the key uncertainty factors, the macro drivers and the micro forces to influence the development of future digital life are figured out in this systematic process. Then three determined trends of digital life and three axes of uncertainty are identified. These three determined trends are the desire to raise life quality, the acceptance to enjoy digital life, and the continued impulsion to develop digital life. The three axes of uncertainty are the popularization strength, the inter-filed integrality and the availability of digital products and technologies. According to these results, several possible novel applications of digital camera devices are forecasted. The key technology trends to capitalize these opportunities are also identified. Finally some strategic suggestions for players in the digital camera industry are proposed in this thesis.
|
|---|
