Analysis of Gravity Model of Trade Creation among Regional Trade Organizations

• Main Authors: Zun-Ren Yu, 尤俊仁
• Other Authors: Chin-Chiuan Lin
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2005
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/7qrn77

碩士 === 崑山科技大學 === 企業管理研究所 === 93 === The present study investigated the characteristics of bilateral trade flows with the four regional trade organizations (NAFTA, EU, ASEAN, and CER) during 1990-2003. The gravity model was used to estimate the trade condition of intra-organizations, and the trend of bilateral trade flows of the organization nations. We also analyze trend of bilateral trade between Taiwan, China, Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong with four regional trade organizations. In this paper we add the parameter of the world competitiveness, and proceed individual test with each of independent variables that whether the world competitiveness is related to bilateral trade or not. The result that we find the world competitiveness is positive effect to bilateral trade. In other words, It is helpful to improve bilateral trade when the country competitiveness is high. We also find the trade creation of NAFTA is higher than others. The trade standard among EU and CER is higher than others. In the view of Asia countries trade with regional trade organizations, the trade standard among China and regional trade organizations is grow up year by year. We also find the country joins in regional trade organization that it can facilitate domestic economy. The economic advantage of members is greater than non-member.