A Small-World Model for Epidemic Simulation

• Main Authors: Ji Lung Hsieh, 謝吉隆
• Other Authors: Chuen Tsai Sun
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2004
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/90320597604454327511

碩士 === 國立交通大學 === 資訊科學系所 === 92 === The author validates a new small world model consisting of cellular automata with mirror identities of daily-contact social networks for purposes of epidemiological simulations. The mirror identity concept was established to integrate human long-distance movement and daily visits to fixed locations into the model. After showing that the model is capable of displaying small-world effects (i.e., low degree of separation and relatively high degree of clustering) on a societal level, we offer proof of its ability to display R0 properties, which are considered central to epidemiological studies. A simulation of the 2003 SARS outbreak serves as our primary example of how the proposed model functions.