| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立成功大學 === 電信管理研究所 === 92 === This paper discusses about the development of mobile telecommunication industry in Taiwan. We use system dynamic research approach to analyze the critical factors in development of the industry. Those internal and external factors and their interrelationships are structured in different hierarchies and discussed. It is found that technology, government policy/regulation, and economy factors are the three critical factors.
This paper establishes those models of system supply, demand, and operator revenue in mobile telecommunication industry. Further, it simulates 3G output value and subscribers during 2004-2012. It is found that voice usage, data download usage, tariff, 3G subscriber and policy/regulation are key factors of development in third generation industry. The system dynamics is found a good approach capable of including the impact of policy/regulation to the competitive environment of an industry.
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