| Summary: | 碩士 === 逢甲大學 === 紡織工程所 === 92 === This study uses unit root test、Johansen Maximum Likelihood method、error correction model and Granger causality test to analyze the influence factors of Taiwan man-made fiber exports from January, 1993 to December, 2003.
The result shows that the price of cotton influenced the man-made fiber exports significantly, there was one-way Granger causality. The price of crude oil only had conspicuous Granger causality with PET fiber exports. The trend of change rate had conspicuous influence on whole man-made exports, especially on man-made fiber staple and PA fiber exports. Stock rate also had conspicuous influence on whole man-made fiber exports, but it had no conspicuous influence on individual fiber(for example PET fiber、PA fiber and PAN fiber).The amount of employee payment had conspicuous influence on whole man-made fiber exports, especially on man-made fiber staple exports that had reciprocal causality. The number of employee had no conspicuous causality with whole man-made fiber exports completely, and it also had no influence on individual fiber(for example PET fiber、PA fiber and PAN fiber).
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