| Summary: | 碩士 === 國防管理學院 === 國防決策科學研究所 === 91 === The change of PLA military strategic thinking began as early as June 1985. At that point, the Chairman of the Central Military Committee of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), Deng Xiao-Ping, indicated in the Military Commission Conference that the PLA should change its strategic thinking on force construction with defense modernization both on its quality and quantity. To improve its military coercive effect, the PLA has to reconstruct a quality military structure and reinforce its weaponry development. By accelerating process of military modernization, the PLA in the future will be able to fully adapt the new patterns of war based on its force constitution thinking as “winning war under high-tech condition.”
After the conclusion of Kosovo crisis, the geo-strategic focus of large powers has been notably moved eastward. A new run of arm race seems to unfold in India, ASEAN nations, Korea and Japan with different degree. Without exception, the U.S. followed this tendency and moved its strategic focus in the new century to Asian-Pacific region with an end focal point in China. Both New U.S.-Japan Defense Cooperation Guidance and the TMD covered Taiwan Strait and South China Sea. Obviously, the PRC is the supposed enemy. Therefore, a series of brand new hot spots of high-tech arms race can be seen around the perimeter of China, which include Korean Peninsula, Taiwan Strait and South China Sea. The factors of potential local crisis or conflict exist in all three areas. It is expected that the PLA is highly possible to involve in a surrounding crisis or regional conflict.
Based on military modernization, restructure of military establishment, development of “building qualitative and quantitative forces with technology” and “force streamline program,” along with “quality force, joint operation and efficiency” concept, the IO/IW and defense technology of the PLA, PLAN, PLAAF, and the Second Artillery Corps as well as its defense capability has been drastically improved. Under this condition, the defense policy and military strategic thinking evolved from “internal defense” oriented consideration to a external and aggressive one.
To win the local war under high-tech condition in the future, the preparation of the PLA forces could include several aspects: The PLA is focusing on combined group armies and combined arms operations; the PLAN endeavored to satisfy the high-tech operational requirement of coastal defense; the PLAAF looked forward to gain air superiority; the Second Artillery Corps is reinforcing its coercive power of its TBM forces. Others also include long-range strike weapons, rapid reaction forces, force projection capability, and asymmetric warfare.
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