Are Currency crises predictable: The performance of Probit model, Logit model and Markov-switch model

碩士 === 國立暨南國際大學 === 經濟學系 === 91 === This thesis tries to evaluate the Probit model which is proposed by Frankel and Rose in 1996 for predicting currency crises. The idea is try to answer the question:If we had been using the Probit model in late 1996, how well armed would we have been to predict the...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Wong Kin Fai, 黃健輝
Other Authors: Yin-Feng Gau
Format: Others
Language:zh-TW
Published: 2003
Online Access:http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/ekka4y